To make a prediction or analysis one must look at a few categories based on the Fighters to be competing.
Discipline: What Martial Art is being used? How effectively has it been used in past competition? Styles make fights.
Strength: Over-all physical strength is based on the fighter's size and physique. How strong is this fighter compared to the Division?
Cardio: Based on past performances, what level of Cardio does the fighter have?
Speed: Based on past performances, what level of Speed is used during competition?
Prediction: Simple, who might win?
Randy 'The Natural' Couture v. Mark 'The Hammer' Coleman
Discipline: Both fighters enter the Octagon with incredible Wrestling skills. Couture's is based on Greco Roman Wrestling and with such he controls and dictates the pace of each fight by controlling and draining his opponents against the cage, and hurting them with some world class 'Dirty Boxing'. Coleman's wrestling involves the best Double-Leg Takedown in all MMA that will place you flat on your back and soon be witness to his brutal Ground and Pound that made him the first ever Heavyweight Champion in the organization. Their over-all wrestling skill seems to be equal. Couture's boxing has improved drastically over the years and will hold the edge when these fighters start on their feet, every fight and round does. Coleman's strength is his Ground and Pound, he will have the edge in dealing pain everytime it hits the mat, which it surely will at one point with two wrestlers. Coleman's few submission wins have come against fighters with an edge in the stand-up game, and Randy has never been submitted inside the Octagon (less one verbal tapout against Ricco Rodriquez due to a brutal elbow that broke Couture's Orbital bone) and only has two Submission wins inside the Octagon. With both fighters being wrestlers I see this being a Stand-Up battle with one taking the other down when pressured with good boxing combinations as both fighters don't usually throw a kick. A submission finish might not be too farfetch'd here.
Strength: Despite their age (Couture 46, Coleman 45) both competitors have Super Human-like strength. Coleman was the larger and more natural Heavyweight, but Couture has been able to press his opponents against the cage with ease for years, no one has really had an answer to his Greco strength. Then again no one has had an answer for Coleman's Ground and Pound. Coleman is still the larger fighter at Lightheavy weight but he will be cutting a few extra pounds come weigh-in. For the first round, Coleman is stronger then any in the Octagon.
Cardio: Age again doesn't play too much of a factor for these two fighters when it comes to cardio. Couture none the less clearly gets the edge when it comes to cardio as we have seen what happenes to Coleman in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Coleman's heart however is un-breakable and he will have the willpower to battle Couture's cardio and pace.
Speed: Coleman is the naturally larger fighter, carrying with him alot more muscle mass and a larger weight cut. Couture has had this 'art' mastered for years and rarely shows fatigue in competition. Advantage Couture.
Prediction: This fight will come down to execution of gameplan. Both have incredible wrestling abilities that taunt the other. Couture has to stay away from Coleman's double-leg and Coleman has to keep his back off the cage. More than likely the majority of this fight will take place on the feet with both fighters trading mostly in punches, Couture has the speed, but Coleman has the power. Coleman is too strong in my opinion for Randy to be successful with a Submission, he will simply power out of any attempt if this fight hits the canvas.
I see this fight going the distance:
Randy Couture by Unanimous Decision.
Marquardt v. Sonnen to come soon.
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